A recent post
by Bob Pisani pointed out 3 reasons for the low volatility:
1- Thanks to advances in trading technology, the market
has become extremely efficient. "With automated traders and news box
traders the prices of stocks — supply and demand — is extremely
efficient",
2- Exchange-traded funds are reducing volatility because
you can trade the ETFs without trading the underlying stocks,
3- The Fed has tamped down volatility for years by keeping
rates low and essentially encouraging people to buy equities due to its
quantitative easing program.
Regarding #3, Mallick et al has confirmed:
Our preliminary findings are that an unexpected loosening
of monetary policy - through a cut in the federal funds rate in the pre-crisis
sample or an increase in bond purchases post-Lehman - typically leads to a
decline in both expected stock and bond market volatilities and the term premium.
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As for #1 and #2, we are not aware of any research
supporting these arguments.
Let us know if you know of any.
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