Thursday, December 24, 2020

Data Mining Bias

The selection of an appropriate sample size is often a debatable topic. When selecting samples, it is crucial to choose correctly, so that the results obtained are not biased. However, many issues can result in a biased selection of samples and, therefore, result in a lower quality of parameter estimates.

Usually, when the sample size is large enough, then the chances of bias in sample selection resulting in inaccurate results minimize. With a large enough sample size, one can assume all the distributions will be normal. However, the main challenge is when the size of the sample is small and has a non-normal population.

What is Data Mining Bias?

Data mining bias occurs when investors go through a dataset in order to identify statistically significant patterns, which may come as a result of a random or unforeseen event. Therefore, data mining bias results in investment strategies that are unsuccessful in the long run. This type of bias usually occurs during the research process when investors try to put weight on identifying patterns.

The more investors are biased while mining data, the more inaccurate results they will get in the long run. Similarly, any decisions based on the data affected by this type of bias can also produce negative outcomes. The basis for most inaccurate investing decisions made by investors comes from data affected by data-mining bias.

What is Data Mining?

Data mining is a process of research and analysis used to process a significant amount of data or information. In investing, data mining refers to the process that investors use to track movements in the market, identify patterns, and any turns or changes in the market direction. Based on this analysis, investors can shape their decisions and make investments.

Almost all investors around the world use data mining to some extent when making decisions. However, when they start putting weight or importance on any anomalies that may represent one-off events or changes. The problem then arises when the investors act on the data and get a negative or unexpected result.

What causes Data Mining Bias?

There are various reasons why data mining bias may exist. Firstly, data mining bias can come as a result of the favorability of anomalies. When investors look at market data, it will consist of random patterns. However, when investors start examining those events, considering them to be anomalies and placing more weight on them than they deserve, the resultant data will include data mining bias.

Similarly, data mining bias can come as a result of past experiences. When investors exploit a random event to make profits, they will start looking for these types of irregularities. Based on that experience, when investors single out similar events in the hope of achieving the same results, it can result in a data-mining bias.

Therefore, data mining bias can come as a result of too much digging performed by investors when evaluating stock with the hopes of identifying patterns that can generate income for them.

Conclusion

When selecting an appropriate sample size for decision-making, investors can perform a biased selection, which can cause negative results. One such problem comes in the form of data-mining bias, which occurs when investors examine a dataset in order to identify statistically significant patterns, which may come as a result of random events.

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